Arouca vs Paços de Ferreira analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
26.8%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.2%
2-0
4.5%
3-1
2.2%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.1%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
6.4%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.9%
26.6%
Draw
0-0
8.6%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.6%
46.6%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
0-1
12.3%
1-2
9%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
23.8%
0-2
8.8%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14%
0-3
4.2%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
6%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arouca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Apr. 2015 |
PEN
0 - 2
ARO
35%
28%
38%
|
68 | 62 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2015 |
ARO
0 - 1
BEL
35%
28%
38%
|
68 | 75 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2015 |
VIT
1 - 0
ARO
63%
23%
15%
|
69 | 81 | 12 | -1 |
| 22 Mar. 2015 |
ARO
3 - 1
GFC
45%
27%
28%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | +1 |
| 15 Mar. 2015 |
FCP
1 - 0
ARO
79%
15%
7%
|
68 | 88 | 20 | 0 |
Matches
Paços de Ferreira
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Apr. 2015 |
PAÇ
0 - 0
MOR
64%
21%
15%
|
79 | 73 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2015 |
EST
1 - 0
PAÇ
39%
26%
35%
|
79 | 75 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2015 |
PAÇ
1 - 1
SCP
31%
24%
46%
|
79 | 86 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2015 |
VST
0 - 0
PAÇ
39%
27%
35%
|
79 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2015 |
PAÇ
1 - 0
BOA
78%
15%
7%
|
78 | 61 | 17 | +1 |