Arouca vs Paços de Ferreira analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
35.8%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.2%
2-0
5.5%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.4%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.3%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.8%
39.4%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.4%
0-2
6.1%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
11.7%
0-3
3%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
-15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arouca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Dec. 2010 |
EST
5 - 2
ARO
38%
28%
34%
|
66 | 62 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 2010 |
ARO
1 - 3
AVE
62%
23%
16%
|
67 | 61 | 6 | -1 |
| 05 Dec. 2010 |
ARO
3 - 3
VAR
65%
22%
13%
|
67 | 58 | 9 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2010 |
PEN
0 - 1
ARO
38%
28%
34%
|
67 | 63 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2010 |
ARO
3 - 0
FAT
64%
22%
14%
|
66 | 58 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
Paços de Ferreira
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Dec. 2010 |
PAÇ
0 - 3
FCP
20%
24%
57%
|
75 | 88 | 13 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2010 |
VIT
1 - 1
PAÇ
57%
25%
19%
|
74 | 80 | 6 | +1 |
| 27 Nov. 2010 |
PAÇ
1 - 0
OLH
54%
25%
22%
|
74 | 72 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2010 |
SCP
1 - 0
PAÇ
72%
18%
10%
|
75 | 88 | 13 | -1 |
| 14 Nov. 2010 |
RIO
3 - 1
PAÇ
38%
29%
34%
|
75 | 71 | 4 | 0 |