Arouca vs Lusitania FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66.8%
Win probability
1.9
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.9%
4-0
4.2%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.3%
3-0
8.8%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.9%
2-0
13.9%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.7%
1-0
14.6%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26%
21%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
21%
12.3%
Win probability
0.67
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.1%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.5%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arouca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jan. 2020 |
AMA
0 - 1
ARO
13%
23%
64%
|
58 | 37 | 21 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2020 |
ARO
3 - 1
TRO
73%
18%
9%
|
58 | 37 | 21 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2020 |
ARO
2 - 1
COI
77%
16%
7%
|
58 | 31 | 27 | 0 |
| 05 Jan. 2020 |
CAN
0 - 0
ARO
13%
23%
65%
|
58 | 38 | 20 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2019 |
ARO
2 - 0
ESP
62%
23%
16%
|
58 | 49 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Lusitania FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jan. 2020 |
LUS
3 - 0
FEL
50%
24%
26%
|
47 | 44 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2020 |
PED
0 - 0
LUS
24%
26%
50%
|
47 | 36 | 11 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2020 |
LUS
2 - 1
AMA
69%
19%
11%
|
47 | 37 | 10 | 0 |
| 05 Jan. 2020 |
TRO
0 - 0
LUS
25%
26%
49%
|
47 | 37 | 10 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2019 |
LUS
1 - 0
CAN
67%
20%
13%
|
47 | 38 | 9 | 0 |