Arouca vs Leixões analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.9%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.6%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.4%
2-0
10.8%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.2%
1-0
14.3%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.6%
26%
Draw
0-0
9.5%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
26%
21%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
14.3%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
5.1%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arouca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Jan. 2011 |
TRO
0 - 1
ARO
52%
26%
22%
|
65 | 67 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Jan. 2011 |
ARO
2 - 3
PAÇ
36%
25%
39%
|
65 | 74 | 9 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 2010 |
EST
5 - 2
ARO
38%
28%
34%
|
66 | 62 | 4 | -1 |
| 12 Dec. 2010 |
ARO
1 - 3
AVE
62%
23%
16%
|
67 | 61 | 6 | -1 |
| 05 Dec. 2010 |
ARO
3 - 3
VAR
65%
22%
13%
|
67 | 58 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Leixões
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Jan. 2011 |
SCF
3 - 3
LEX
40%
28%
32%
|
67 | 59 | 8 | 0 |
| 30 Dec. 2010 |
LEX
1 - 2
TRO
52%
26%
22%
|
68 | 66 | 2 | -1 |
| 19 Dec. 2010 |
AVE
2 - 2
LEX
40%
29%
32%
|
68 | 62 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 2010 |
LEX
1 - 1
PIN
78%
14%
7%
|
68 | 47 | 21 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 2010 |
LEX
3 - 0
FAT
67%
21%
12%
|
68 | 56 | 12 | 0 |