Arouca vs Fatima analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.9%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.6%
3-0
8%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.8%
2-0
13.5%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.9%
1-0
15.1%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.4%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
8.5%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
22.4%
13.7%
Win probability
0.68
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.1%
0-2
2%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-14%
+37%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arouca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Nov. 2010 |
ACA
1 - 1
ARO
64%
21%
16%
|
67 | 78 | 11 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2010 |
OLI
2 - 2
ARO
41%
28%
32%
|
67 | 64 | 3 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2010 |
ARO
2 - 0
SPC
63%
22%
15%
|
66 | 58 | 8 | +1 |
| 24 Oct. 2010 |
GFC
1 - 1
ARO
56%
25%
19%
|
66 | 69 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2010 |
SLB
5 - 1
ARO
90%
8%
3%
|
67 | 88 | 21 | -1 |
Matches
Fatima
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Nov. 2010 |
FAT
0 - 2
TRO
37%
28%
36%
|
60 | 67 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2010 |
AVE
2 - 0
FAT
53%
26%
21%
|
61 | 63 | 2 | -1 |
| 24 Oct. 2010 |
FAT
2 - 2
EST
42%
28%
30%
|
60 | 64 | 4 | +1 |
| 17 Oct. 2010 |
CAR
0 - 0
FAT
35%
25%
40%
|
61 | 50 | 11 | -1 |
| 10 Oct. 2010 |
FAT
1 - 1
BMA
36%
25%
39%
|
60 | 69 | 9 | +1 |