Arouca vs Famalicão analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.1%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.1%
+3
4.9%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
12.6%
1-0
13.5%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
28.4%
Draw
0-0
10.7%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
28.4%
28.4%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
10.4%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
18.2%
0-2
5%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
7.4%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arouca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Feb. 2019 |
ARO
2 - 0
ACV
51%
26%
23%
|
60 | 56 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2019 |
BEN
3 - 1
ARO
56%
23%
21%
|
61 | 61 | 0 | -1 |
| 20 Jan. 2019 |
ARO
2 - 0
PEN
39%
27%
34%
|
60 | 61 | 1 | +1 |
| 13 Jan. 2019 |
ARO
0 - 0
OLI
54%
26%
21%
|
60 | 55 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Jan. 2019 |
EST
1 - 1
ARO
66%
21%
13%
|
60 | 71 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Famalicão
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Feb. 2019 |
FAM
0 - 1
PAÇ
26%
27%
47%
|
63 | 72 | 9 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2019 |
PEN
1 - 2
FAM
43%
29%
29%
|
62 | 60 | 2 | +1 |
| 19 Jan. 2019 |
FAM
0 - 0
FAR
56%
24%
20%
|
62 | 57 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2019 |
FAM
2 - 0
EST
29%
27%
44%
|
61 | 71 | 10 | +1 |
| 06 Jan. 2019 |
FAM
0 - 0
VAR
52%
25%
23%
|
61 | 60 | 1 | 0 |