Arouca vs Desportivo Aves analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.2%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.1%
+3
5%
2-0
9%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
13%
1-0
14.3%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
+1
24.3%
28.8%
Draw
0-0
11.4%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
28.8%
27%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
10.4%
1-2
6%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
17.7%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6.9%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arouca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Aug. 2012 |
POR
1 - 3
ARO
50%
26%
25%
|
61 | 61 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2012 |
ARO
0 - 0
NAV
42%
24%
35%
|
61 | 68 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 Aug. 2012 |
ARO
2 - 1
ATL
52%
22%
27%
|
61 | 60 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2012 |
SPC
4 - 2
ARO
38%
24%
38%
|
62 | 58 | 4 | -1 |
| 13 May. 2012 |
EST
2 - 2
ARO
59%
24%
17%
|
62 | 69 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Desportivo Aves
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Aug. 2012 |
AVE
2 - 0
TRO
58%
23%
19%
|
68 | 62 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2012 |
SAN
3 - 1
AVE
41%
27%
32%
|
69 | 63 | 6 | -1 |
| 01 Aug. 2012 |
AVE
3 - 0
TON
62%
21%
17%
|
69 | 62 | 7 | 0 |
| 29 Jul. 2012 |
AVE
5 - 1
TRO
53%
24%
24%
|
68 | 65 | 3 | +1 |
| 13 May. 2012 |
TRO
1 - 0
AVE
44%
28%
28%
|
68 | 64 | 4 | 0 |