Arouca vs Desportivo Aves analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.9%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.8%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.8%
2-0
11%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.6%
1-0
14.2%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.7%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
9.1%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
25.6%
20.5%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
14%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.9%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arouca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Feb. 2012 |
ATL
1 - 0
ARO
44%
28%
29%
|
65 | 63 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2012 |
ARO
1 - 1
SPC
67%
21%
12%
|
65 | 57 | 8 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2012 |
LEX
0 - 2
ARO
46%
27%
27%
|
64 | 65 | 1 | +1 |
| 29 Jan. 2012 |
MOR
0 - 2
ARO
59%
24%
18%
|
63 | 68 | 5 | +1 |
| 22 Jan. 2012 |
ARO
1 - 0
SAN
55%
25%
21%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Desportivo Aves
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Feb. 2012 |
AVE
0 - 0
MOR
51%
26%
24%
|
66 | 67 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2012 |
NAV
1 - 1
AVE
51%
27%
22%
|
66 | 68 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2012 |
AVE
3 - 1
BEL
53%
25%
22%
|
65 | 64 | 1 | +1 |
| 29 Jan. 2012 |
OLI
1 - 1
AVE
45%
27%
28%
|
65 | 63 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2012 |
AVE
1 - 1
UNM
62%
23%
16%
|
66 | 58 | 8 | -1 |