Arouca vs Cova Piedade analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.7%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.4%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.8%
2-0
11.9%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.9%
1-0
14.6%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.1%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
9%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
24.6%
17.7%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12.5%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arouca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Mar. 2019 |
MAF
1 - 1
ARO
39%
28%
34%
|
63 | 59 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2019 |
ARO
1 - 0
POR
41%
27%
32%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | +1 |
| 17 Feb. 2019 |
BRA
0 - 2
ARO
39%
27%
34%
|
62 | 57 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2019 |
ARO
2 - 1
FAM
43%
28%
28%
|
61 | 63 | 2 | +1 |
| 03 Feb. 2019 |
ARO
2 - 0
ACV
51%
26%
23%
|
60 | 56 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Cova Piedade
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Mar. 2019 |
COV
1 - 0
FAR
40%
27%
33%
|
55 | 56 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2019 |
BEN
1 - 2
COV
72%
17%
11%
|
54 | 62 | 8 | +1 |
| 16 Feb. 2019 |
COV
1 - 1
PEN
29%
27%
44%
|
54 | 60 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2019 |
EST
2 - 0
COV
70%
20%
11%
|
54 | 68 | 14 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2019 |
SPC
3 - 0
COV
40%
28%
31%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | -1 |