Arouca vs Cova Piedade analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66.2%
Win probability
1.92
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.3%
3-0
8.6%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.8%
2-0
13.4%
3-1
6%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.5%
1-0
14%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.7%
20.9%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
20.9%
12.9%
Win probability
0.7
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.4%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.7%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arouca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct. 2016 |
FCP
3 - 0
ARO
75%
17%
8%
|
72 | 87 | 15 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2016 |
REA
1 - 0
ARO
12%
20%
69%
|
71 | 46 | 25 | +1 |
| 02 Oct. 2016 |
ARO
1 - 1
SPB
25%
28%
47%
|
71 | 83 | 12 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2016 |
BEL
1 - 1
ARO
49%
27%
24%
|
71 | 74 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2016 |
ARO
0 - 1
CHA
52%
26%
22%
|
72 | 67 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Cova Piedade
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Oct. 2016 |
COV
2 - 0
VSC
36%
27%
37%
|
55 | 56 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2016 |
MOR
0 - 1
COV
10%
18%
72%
|
55 | 32 | 23 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2016 |
UNM
0 - 1
COV
63%
23%
15%
|
54 | 64 | 10 | +1 |
| 02 Oct. 2016 |
COV
3 - 2
OLH
44%
28%
29%
|
54 | 54 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2016 |
SCP
5 - 1
COV
59%
22%
19%
|
55 | 57 | 2 | -1 |