Arouca vs Benfica II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.7%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.2%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.3%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.1%
1-0
11%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.2%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.6%
27.7%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.9%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.5%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arouca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Oct. 2020 |
AEA
0 - 5
ARO
7%
14%
79%
|
59 | 7 | 52 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2020 |
COV
0 - 2
ARO
32%
28%
40%
|
59 | 53 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2020 |
ARO
1 - 1
ACV
40%
27%
33%
|
58 | 61 | 3 | +1 |
| 22 Sep. 2020 |
VAR
0 - 0
ARO
48%
27%
25%
|
58 | 62 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2020 |
ARO
0 - 0
LEX
47%
27%
27%
|
59 | 59 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Benfica II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Oct. 2020 |
BEN
0 - 1
EST
41%
25%
34%
|
57 | 64 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2020 |
MAF
2 - 1
BEN
53%
25%
22%
|
58 | 65 | 7 | -1 |
| 23 Sep. 2020 |
BEN
3 - 4
CHA
43%
26%
32%
|
59 | 65 | 6 | -1 |
| 19 Sep. 2020 |
CAS
0 - 6
BEN
24%
25%
51%
|
59 | 46 | 13 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2020 |
BEN
3 - 2
VIL
70%
18%
12%
|
58 | 52 | 6 | +1 |