Arouca vs Benfica II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.6%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.5%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.7%
21.8%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.3%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.5%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-14%
+14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arouca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Dec. 2012 |
FEI
5 - 0
ARO
36%
28%
36%
|
67 | 63 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2012 |
ARO
2 - 1
BMA
50%
24%
26%
|
66 | 69 | 3 | +1 |
| 28 Nov. 2012 |
ARO
2 - 0
BRA
69%
20%
11%
|
66 | 53 | 13 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2012 |
SAN
4 - 0
ARO
36%
28%
36%
|
67 | 61 | 6 | -1 |
| 18 Nov. 2012 |
ARO
2 - 1
RIO
38%
26%
37%
|
66 | 76 | 10 | +1 |
Matches
Benfica II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Dec. 2012 |
BEN
3 - 1
MAR
67%
21%
13%
|
62 | 51 | 11 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2012 |
ATL
1 - 0
BEN
35%
28%
37%
|
63 | 57 | 6 | -1 |
| 22 Nov. 2012 |
BEN
2 - 1
SPC
60%
24%
17%
|
63 | 58 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2012 |
OLI
1 - 2
BEN
52%
25%
23%
|
62 | 65 | 3 | +1 |
| 04 Nov. 2012 |
BEN
1 - 3
SCP
48%
26%
26%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | -1 |