Arouca vs Os Belenenses analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.2%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.7%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.4%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16%
1-0
13.2%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
8.5%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.6%
22.2%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.8%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.6%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-14%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arouca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Feb. 2011 |
FEI
2 - 1
ARO
42%
28%
31%
|
66 | 65 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2011 |
ARO
1 - 0
SAN
53%
25%
22%
|
66 | 67 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2011 |
ARO
0 - 4
SPB
17%
23%
60%
|
66 | 86 | 20 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2011 |
SCF
2 - 2
ARO
42%
26%
32%
|
66 | 60 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2011 |
VIT
1 - 0
ARO
76%
15%
9%
|
67 | 80 | 13 | -1 |
Matches
Os Belenenses
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Feb. 2011 |
BEL
2 - 0
PEN
58%
23%
19%
|
66 | 63 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2011 |
AVE
2 - 0
BEL
45%
27%
29%
|
67 | 65 | 2 | -1 |
| 22 Jan. 2011 |
EST
1 - 1
BEL
38%
28%
34%
|
67 | 63 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 2011 |
BEL
4 - 2
VAR
64%
21%
14%
|
66 | 60 | 6 | +1 |
| 08 Jan. 2011 |
BEL
3 - 3
OLI
52%
25%
23%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | 0 |