Arouca vs Académica analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.5%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.4%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
7%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.7%
1-0
14.3%
2-1
9%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.5%
26.5%
Draw
0-0
9.7%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
26.5%
22%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
14.9%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
5.4%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arouca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Mar. 2016 |
SCP
5 - 1
ARO
72%
19%
10%
|
70 | 85 | 15 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2016 |
ARO
1 - 0
VST
39%
27%
34%
|
69 | 73 | 4 | +1 |
| 06 Mar. 2016 |
TON
0 - 1
ARO
32%
28%
40%
|
71 | 61 | 10 | -2 |
| 27 Feb. 2016 |
ARO
0 - 0
SPB
24%
26%
50%
|
70 | 85 | 15 | +1 |
| 21 Feb. 2016 |
BEL
0 - 2
ARO
51%
27%
23%
|
70 | 73 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Académica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Mar. 2016 |
ACA
0 - 3
EST
23%
28%
50%
|
68 | 79 | 11 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2016 |
MOR
2 - 2
ACA
57%
25%
18%
|
65 | 70 | 5 | +3 |
| 06 Mar. 2016 |
ACA
2 - 0
VIT
18%
24%
59%
|
66 | 79 | 13 | -1 |
| 28 Feb. 2016 |
MAR
1 - 0
ACA
69%
20%
11%
|
66 | 77 | 11 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2016 |
ACA
0 - 2
RIO
25%
28%
48%
|
67 | 78 | 11 | -1 |