Arouca vs Académica analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.8%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.7%
2-0
8%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.2%
1-0
12.6%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23%
28%
Draw
0-0
9.9%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
28%
30.2%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
10.3%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18.8%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
8.1%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
-14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arouca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 2014 |
TON
1 - 1
ARO
30%
25%
45%
|
70 | 60 | 10 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2014 |
RIO
1 - 2
ARO
55%
25%
19%
|
69 | 78 | 9 | +1 |
| 13 Sep. 2014 |
ARO
1 - 0
SPB
19%
25%
56%
|
67 | 85 | 18 | +2 |
| 31 Aug. 2014 |
NAC
2 - 0
ARO
64%
21%
15%
|
69 | 78 | 9 | -2 |
| 23 Aug. 2014 |
SCP
1 - 0
ARO
68%
21%
11%
|
69 | 86 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
Académica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 2014 |
ACA
2 - 2
EST
28%
29%
43%
|
73 | 81 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2014 |
BOA
1 - 0
ACA
15%
25%
60%
|
74 | 48 | 26 | -1 |
| 29 Aug. 2014 |
ACA
1 - 1
VST
37%
29%
35%
|
73 | 74 | 1 | +1 |
| 23 Aug. 2014 |
MAR
2 - 1
ACA
52%
26%
22%
|
73 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2014 |
ACA
1 - 1
SCP
17%
24%
59%
|
71 | 85 | 14 | +2 |