Arosa vs UP Langreo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
24.2%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.7%
2-0
4%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.1%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
5.8%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
15.9%
26.7%
Draw
0-0
9.3%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.7%
49.1%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
0-1
13.4%
1-2
9%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
24.7%
0-2
9.7%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.9%
0-3
4.7%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
6.5%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.2%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
-13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arosa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Oct. 2021 |
CAT
1 - 1
ARO
46%
27%
28%
|
37 | 38 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2021 |
AVI
2 - 1
ARO
49%
26%
25%
|
38 | 39 | 1 | -1 |
| 17 Oct. 2021 |
ARO
1 - 0
NAV
29%
28%
43%
|
36 | 42 | 6 | +2 |
| 10 Oct. 2021 |
ADA
2 - 1
ARO
59%
23%
18%
|
37 | 43 | 6 | -1 |
| 03 Oct. 2021 |
ARO
0 - 1
COX
24%
26%
50%
|
37 | 45 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
UP Langreo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Oct. 2021 |
UPL
2 - 1
AVI
57%
24%
19%
|
44 | 40 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2021 |
NAV
1 - 0
UPL
32%
27%
41%
|
45 | 41 | 4 | -1 |
| 16 Oct. 2021 |
UPL
1 - 1
ADA
48%
25%
27%
|
45 | 43 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2021 |
COX
2 - 1
UPL
44%
26%
30%
|
46 | 46 | 0 | -1 |
| 06 Oct. 2021 |
UPL
0 - 1
AVI
61%
22%
17%
|
46 | 38 | 8 | 0 |