Arosa vs Lleida analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
33.8%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.8%
2-0
6.5%
3-1
2.3%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
9.1%
1-0
12.9%
2-1
6.8%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
21%
30.3%
Draw
0-0
12.8%
1-1
13.5%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
30.3%
35.9%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
13.4%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
21.9%
0-2
7%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
9.9%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arosa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Apr. 1986 |
BUR
1 - 0
ARO
74%
18%
8%
|
45 | 59 | 14 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 1986 |
ARO
1 - 0
ZAM
48%
29%
23%
|
44 | 50 | 6 | +1 |
| 13 Apr. 1986 |
ALA
6 - 1
ARO
68%
22%
10%
|
44 | 59 | 15 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 1986 |
ARO
4 - 3
FCA
46%
29%
25%
|
43 | 49 | 6 | +1 |
| 30 Mar. 1986 |
AND
3 - 3
ARO
70%
19%
11%
|
43 | 49 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Lleida
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Apr. 1986 |
PON
1 - 1
LLE
46%
28%
26%
|
59 | 50 | 9 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 1986 |
LLE
2 - 1
BUR
51%
27%
22%
|
58 | 60 | 2 | +1 |
| 13 Apr. 1986 |
ZAM
1 - 1
LLE
40%
30%
31%
|
58 | 49 | 9 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 1986 |
LLE
1 - 1
ALA
52%
27%
21%
|
58 | 59 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 1986 |
FCA
0 - 1
LLE
40%
30%
30%
|
58 | 49 | 9 | 0 |