Arosa vs UD Orensana analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.1%
Win probability
2.13
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
4.2%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
9%
2-0
6%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
15.6%
1-0
5.6%
2-1
9%
3-2
4.8%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21%
20.8%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
6.8%
3-3
2.4%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
20.8%
27.1%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
14.8%
0-2
3%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
7.8%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arosa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Nov. 1949 |
GIM
4 - 1
ARO
70%
16%
14%
|
38 | 42 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 1949 |
ARO
0 - 2
ZAR
37%
25%
38%
|
39 | 54 | 15 | -1 |
| 23 Oct. 1949 |
LLE
3 - 0
ARO
74%
14%
12%
|
41 | 45 | 4 | -2 |
| 16 Oct. 1949 |
ARO
3 - 1
SDE
63%
18%
19%
|
39 | 41 | 2 | +2 |
| 09 Oct. 1949 |
BAR
3 - 3
ARO
91%
6%
3%
|
38 | 61 | 23 | +1 |
Matches
UD Orensana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Nov. 1949 |
ORE
5 - 0
RCF
33%
21%
47%
|
44 | 56 | 12 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 1949 |
RAC
4 - 1
ORE
91%
6%
3%
|
44 | 60 | 16 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 1949 |
ORE
2 - 0
NUM
80%
12%
8%
|
44 | 37 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 1949 |
SPO
5 - 2
ORE
85%
10%
6%
|
44 | 71 | 27 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 1949 |
ORE
1 - 0
OSA
45%
22%
33%
|
43 | 53 | 10 | +1 |