Copa del Rey 1/64
Global 0-2
Arosa vs Talavera CF analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.9%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.3%
2-0
6.5%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.2%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
21%
25%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25%
34.2%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
18.9%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
9.9%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.8%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arosa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Nov. 1977 |
ARO
3 - 0
DEP
48%
26%
27%
|
33 | 36 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 1977 |
AVI
6 - 0
ARO
57%
24%
19%
|
35 | 33 | 2 | -2 |
| 01 Nov. 1977 |
TAL
2 - 0
ARO
69%
18%
13%
|
36 | 38 | 2 | -1 |
| 30 Oct. 1977 |
ARO
1 - 0
SPO
83%
12%
6%
|
36 | 22 | 14 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 1977 |
NOI
1 - 1
ARO
37%
25%
38%
|
36 | 22 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Talavera CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Nov. 1977 |
SAL
0 - 1
TAL
38%
25%
37%
|
40 | 31 | 9 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 1977 |
TAL
2 - 1
LPA
66%
19%
16%
|
39 | 37 | 2 | +1 |
| 01 Nov. 1977 |
TAL
2 - 0
ARO
69%
18%
13%
|
38 | 36 | 2 | +1 |
| 30 Oct. 1977 |
TAL
2 - 0
GUA
68%
19%
13%
|
37 | 36 | 1 | +1 |
| 23 Oct. 1977 |
ALC
1 - 3
TAL
75%
15%
10%
|
35 | 45 | 10 | +2 |