Arosa vs Real Sporting analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
21.1%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.8%
2-0
2.9%
3-1
2.1%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
5.6%
1-0
5.2%
2-1
5.6%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.2%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.8%
57.2%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
0-1
9.1%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.3%
0-2
8.9%
1-3
6.5%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
17.4%
0-3
5.8%
1-4
3.2%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
9.8%
0-4
2.9%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.4%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.6%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-22%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arosa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Dec. 1949 |
OSA
1 - 0
ARO
90%
7%
3%
|
34 | 50 | 16 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 1949 |
ARO
0 - 3
SAB
24%
25%
51%
|
34 | 65 | 31 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 1949 |
ORE
4 - 1
ARO
82%
11%
7%
|
35 | 48 | 13 | -1 |
| 20 Nov. 1949 |
BAD
5 - 1
ARO
90%
7%
4%
|
36 | 51 | 15 | -1 |
| 13 Nov. 1949 |
ARO
0 - 2
ORE
52%
21%
27%
|
37 | 46 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
Real Sporting
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Dec. 1949 |
SPO
2 - 2
RCF
76%
13%
11%
|
69 | 52 | 17 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 1949 |
RAC
3 - 2
SPO
58%
19%
24%
|
69 | 63 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 1949 |
SPO
2 - 1
GIM
88%
8%
4%
|
69 | 43 | 26 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 1949 |
SPO
9 - 0
NUM
90%
7%
3%
|
69 | 39 | 30 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 1949 |
SGL
2 - 1
SPO
33%
24%
43%
|
70 | 46 | 24 | -1 |