Arosa vs SD Erandio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.6%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
3%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
<0%
+4
3.7%
3-0
7.5%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.6%
2-0
14%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
19.2%
1-0
17.4%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.1%
+1
27.5%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
10.8%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
24.4%
14%
Win probability
0.62
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0%
-1
10.5%
0-2
2%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-15%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arosa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Feb. 1985 |
LLE
1 - 1
ARO
69%
21%
10%
|
45 | 53 | 8 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 1985 |
ARO
2 - 1
SPB
40%
30%
29%
|
44 | 50 | 6 | +1 |
| 20 Jan. 1985 |
CFP
3 - 0
ARO
46%
30%
24%
|
46 | 40 | 6 | -2 |
| 13 Jan. 1985 |
ARO
0 - 0
GIM
37%
32%
31%
|
46 | 56 | 10 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 1985 |
ARO
1 - 1
AVI
56%
26%
18%
|
46 | 44 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
SD Erandio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Feb. 1985 |
ALA
6 - 0
SDE
80%
15%
5%
|
39 | 64 | 25 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 1985 |
SDE
2 - 3
SSC
25%
30%
45%
|
40 | 63 | 23 | -1 |
| 20 Jan. 1985 |
LLE
7 - 0
SDE
73%
19%
8%
|
42 | 55 | 13 | -2 |
| 13 Jan. 1985 |
SDE
1 - 1
SPB
40%
30%
30%
|
41 | 50 | 9 | +1 |
| 06 Jan. 1985 |
SDE
0 - 3
CFP
62%
23%
15%
|
42 | 38 | 4 | -1 |