Arosa vs SD Erandio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.3%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.7%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
2.5%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
7.6%
2-0
13.1%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
17.3%
1-0
18.7%
2-1
8%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
28%
27.5%
Draw
0-0
13.3%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
27.5%
16.3%
Win probability
0.61
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0%
-1
12.2%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-31%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arosa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jan. 1984 |
ALA
1 - 0
ARO
73%
19%
8%
|
46 | 55 | 9 | 0 |
| 01 Jan. 1984 |
ARO
1 - 1
RSO
45%
29%
27%
|
46 | 51 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 1983 |
FIG
2 - 1
ARO
68%
21%
11%
|
47 | 48 | 1 | -1 |
| 11 Dec. 1983 |
ARO
3 - 1
RCF
61%
25%
15%
|
46 | 43 | 3 | +1 |
| 04 Dec. 1983 |
COM
1 - 1
ARO
56%
28%
16%
|
46 | 49 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
SD Erandio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jan. 1984 |
SDE
2 - 0
OSA
57%
27%
17%
|
46 | 47 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Jan. 1984 |
SAB
2 - 1
SDE
80%
15%
5%
|
47 | 61 | 14 | -1 |
| 18 Dec. 1983 |
SDE
1 - 0
FCA
41%
29%
30%
|
46 | 53 | 7 | +1 |
| 11 Dec. 1983 |
BIN
3 - 0
SDE
70%
20%
10%
|
47 | 48 | 1 | -1 |
| 04 Dec. 1983 |
SDE
1 - 7
LOG
40%
30%
31%
|
48 | 55 | 7 | -1 |