Arosa vs SD Erandio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.3%
Win probability
2.56
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.2%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
6.8%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
4.8%
5-2
1.7%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.4%
2-0
6.5%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
3.3%
5-3
0.8%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
18.2%
1-0
5.1%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
5.1%
4-3
1.5%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.8%
17.8%
Draw
0-0
2%
1-1
6.9%
2-2
6%
3-3
2.3%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
17.8%
18.8%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
0-1
2.7%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
11.1%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
5.1%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
2-7
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-24%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arosa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Oct. 1949 |
BAR
3 - 3
ARO
91%
6%
3%
|
38 | 61 | 23 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 1949 |
ARO
2 - 1
GIR
32%
26%
42%
|
37 | 56 | 19 | +1 |
| 25 Sep. 1949 |
ARO
1 - 3
SGL
59%
18%
22%
|
38 | 39 | 1 | -1 |
| 18 Sep. 1949 |
RCF
7 - 0
ARO
88%
8%
5%
|
39 | 57 | 18 | -1 |
| 11 Sep. 1949 |
ARO
1 - 4
RAC
30%
24%
46%
|
39 | 57 | 18 | 0 |
Matches
SD Erandio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Oct. 1949 |
SDE
2 - 2
RCF
22%
20%
58%
|
40 | 57 | 17 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 1949 |
RAC
4 - 1
SDE
91%
6%
3%
|
41 | 59 | 18 | -1 |
| 25 Sep. 1949 |
SDE
1 - 0
NUM
61%
19%
20%
|
39 | 40 | 1 | +2 |
| 18 Sep. 1949 |
SPO
3 - 0
SDE
84%
10%
6%
|
40 | 70 | 30 | -1 |
| 10 Sep. 1949 |
SDE
1 - 0
OSA
30%
23%
47%
|
39 | 54 | 15 | +1 |