Arosa vs Real Zaragoza analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
36.9%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.4%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.5%
2-0
5.7%
3-1
4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.8%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.7%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.8%
38.3%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.1%
0-2
5.9%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
11.3%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.8%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arosa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Oct. 1949 |
LLE
3 - 0
ARO
74%
14%
12%
|
41 | 45 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 1949 |
ARO
3 - 1
SDE
63%
18%
19%
|
39 | 41 | 2 | +2 |
| 09 Oct. 1949 |
BAR
3 - 3
ARO
91%
6%
3%
|
38 | 61 | 23 | +1 |
| 02 Oct. 1949 |
ARO
2 - 1
GIR
32%
26%
42%
|
37 | 56 | 19 | +1 |
| 25 Sep. 1949 |
ARO
1 - 3
SGL
59%
18%
22%
|
38 | 39 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Real Zaragoza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Oct. 1949 |
ZAR
6 - 3
RCF
59%
19%
22%
|
53 | 57 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 1949 |
RAC
4 - 1
ZAR
77%
13%
10%
|
54 | 59 | 5 | -1 |
| 09 Oct. 1949 |
ZAR
4 - 2
NUM
92%
6%
3%
|
54 | 38 | 16 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 1949 |
SPO
3 - 1
ZAR
78%
13%
9%
|
54 | 70 | 16 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 1949 |
ZAR
4 - 3
OSA
70%
16%
14%
|
54 | 54 | 0 | 0 |