Arosa vs Sporting Atlético analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
33.3%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.6%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.7%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
2.2%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
8.9%
1-0
13%
2-1
6.7%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
20.9%
30.5%
Draw
0-0
13.1%
1-1
13.5%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
30.5%
36.1%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
13.7%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
22%
0-2
7.1%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
9.9%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-32%
-27%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arosa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Sep. 1993 |
AVI
1 - 0
ARO
75%
18%
8%
|
34 | 48 | 14 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 1993 |
ARO
0 - 1
VIL
27%
28%
45%
|
33 | 59 | 26 | +1 |
| 29 Aug. 1993 |
PON
0 - 1
ARO
61%
22%
16%
|
32 | 33 | 1 | +1 |
| 25 Aug. 1993 |
ARO
4 - 1
PON
50%
26%
24%
|
30 | 35 | 5 | +2 |
| 22 Aug. 1993 |
ARO
4 - 0
CAM
64%
22%
15%
|
29 | 24 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Sporting Atlético
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Sep. 1993 |
SPB
1 - 0
RCF
52%
25%
23%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 May. 1993 |
PON
2 - 2
SPB
40%
30%
30%
|
42 | 35 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 May. 1993 |
SPB
0 - 0
CEL
66%
21%
13%
|
42 | 36 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 May. 1993 |
ASP
0 - 0
SPB
41%
29%
29%
|
42 | 37 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 May. 1993 |
SPB
1 - 0
ROB
60%
24%
17%
|
41 | 41 | 0 | +1 |