Arosa vs Sporting Atlético analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.5%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
<0%
+4
2.3%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.7%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.3%
1-0
14.2%
2-1
9%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.3%
26.8%
Draw
0-0
9.8%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
26.8%
22.8%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
15.3%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.6%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-34%
-29%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arosa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Mar. 1986 |
BIN
3 - 1
ARO
69%
20%
11%
|
43 | 49 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 1986 |
SLA
5 - 0
ARO
70%
21%
9%
|
43 | 57 | 14 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 1986 |
ARO
1 - 0
CFP
42%
30%
28%
|
42 | 51 | 9 | +1 |
| 02 Feb. 1986 |
3 - 0
ARO
54%
26%
20%
|
44 | 39 | 5 | -2 |
| 25 Jan. 1986 |
ARO
2 - 0
HOS
56%
26%
18%
|
43 | 45 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Sporting Atlético
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Mar. 1986 |
SPB
1 - 4
LLE
37%
30%
33%
|
46 | 58 | 12 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 1986 |
BUR
1 - 0
SPB
64%
21%
15%
|
46 | 62 | 16 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 1986 |
SPB
2 - 0
ZAM
51%
28%
21%
|
44 | 48 | 4 | +2 |
| 13 Feb. 1986 |
SPB
2 - 0
FCA
41%
30%
29%
|
42 | 52 | 10 | +2 |
| 09 Feb. 1986 |
ALA
1 - 1
SPB
72%
19%
9%
|
42 | 60 | 18 | 0 |