Arosa vs Real Ávila analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.8%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
+3
4.6%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
12.7%
1-0
15.7%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
24.8%
30.1%
Draw
0-0
13.3%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
30.1%
26.1%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
11.2%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
17.6%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
6.4%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-22%
+13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arosa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Dec. 1993 |
UPL
4 - 2
ARO
67%
21%
12%
|
36 | 41 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 1993 |
ARO
0 - 2
SLA
26%
31%
43%
|
37 | 58 | 21 | -1 |
| 21 Nov. 1993 |
CDO
3 - 0
ARO
66%
22%
12%
|
38 | 46 | 8 | -1 |
| 14 Nov. 1993 |
ARO
1 - 0
TAL
40%
29%
31%
|
36 | 41 | 5 | +2 |
| 11 Nov. 1993 |
ATB
5 - 1
ARO
72%
19%
9%
|
37 | 46 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
Real Ávila
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Dec. 1993 |
AVI
3 - 0
RCF
34%
28%
38%
|
37 | 44 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 1993 |
LUG
2 - 0
AVI
66%
23%
10%
|
38 | 52 | 14 | -1 |
| 21 Nov. 1993 |
AVI
0 - 0
CUL
46%
30%
25%
|
37 | 42 | 5 | +1 |
| 14 Nov. 1993 |
PON
2 - 0
AVI
57%
26%
17%
|
39 | 39 | 0 | -2 |
| 10 Nov. 1993 |
AVI
3 - 1
TOM
51%
28%
22%
|
38 | 37 | 1 | +1 |