Arosa vs Real Ávila analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.6%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.1%
+3
4.8%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
12.7%
1-0
14.5%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
24.2%
29.1%
Draw
0-0
11.8%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
29.1%
27.3%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
10.7%
1-2
6%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
17.9%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6.9%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-31%
+13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arosa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Nov. 1989 |
CUL
0 - 0
ARO
64%
23%
13%
|
38 | 45 | 7 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 1989 |
ARO
0 - 3
LEG
44%
29%
27%
|
39 | 46 | 7 | -1 |
| 22 Oct. 1989 |
UPL
1 - 0
ARO
56%
25%
19%
|
41 | 38 | 3 | -2 |
| 15 Oct. 1989 |
ARO
0 - 1
AVI
41%
29%
30%
|
42 | 49 | 7 | -1 |
| 08 Oct. 1989 |
COL
0 - 0
ARO
49%
28%
23%
|
42 | 37 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Real Ávila
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Nov. 1989 |
AVI
0 - 0
CDO
49%
28%
23%
|
45 | 51 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 1989 |
CDT
1 - 0
AVI
31%
31%
38%
|
46 | 26 | 20 | -1 |
| 22 Oct. 1989 |
CUL
0 - 2
AVI
54%
26%
20%
|
45 | 45 | 0 | +1 |
| 15 Oct. 1989 |
AVI
1 - 1
LEG
58%
25%
18%
|
45 | 44 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 1989 |
UPL
0 - 2
AVI
51%
27%
23%
|
44 | 39 | 5 | +1 |