Copa del Rey 1/64
Global 3-2
Arosa vs Racing Ferrol analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.1%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.9%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.8%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.8%
1-0
12.6%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
26.9%
Draw
0-0
9%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.9%
27%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
9.1%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.1%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.1%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arosa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct. 1983 |
ARO
3 - 2
BAR
41%
32%
26%
|
38 | 46 | 8 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 1983 |
RCF
1 - 3
ARO
74%
17%
9%
|
36 | 47 | 11 | +2 |
| 09 Oct. 1983 |
ARO
1 - 1
GIM
27%
34%
39%
|
36 | 56 | 20 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 1983 |
OSA
2 - 0
ARO
74%
18%
8%
|
36 | 48 | 12 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 1983 |
ARO
1 - 0
LEM
81%
14%
6%
|
36 | 21 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Racing Ferrol
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct. 1983 |
RSO
0 - 0
RCF
65%
23%
12%
|
47 | 55 | 8 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 1983 |
RCF
1 - 3
ARO
74%
17%
9%
|
47 | 36 | 11 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 1983 |
RCF
2 - 2
FIG
54%
27%
19%
|
48 | 46 | 2 | -1 |
| 02 Oct. 1983 |
GIM
2 - 0
RCF
65%
23%
12%
|
48 | 56 | 8 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 1983 |
GRA
0 - 0
RCF
30%
29%
41%
|
49 | 24 | 25 | -1 |