Arosa vs Racing Ferrol analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.7%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.6%
3-0
7.3%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.4%
2-0
13.5%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
18.9%
1-0
16.7%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.1%
+1
27.2%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
10.3%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
24.5%
14.8%
Win probability
0.65
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.1%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-18%
-15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arosa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Dec. 1983 |
COM
1 - 1
ARO
56%
28%
16%
|
46 | 50 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 1983 |
ARO
3 - 0
AND
40%
30%
30%
|
44 | 52 | 8 | +2 |
| 22 Nov. 1983 |
OSA
3 - 1
ARO
87%
9%
4%
|
44 | 75 | 31 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 1983 |
HUE
0 - 2
ARO
72%
19%
9%
|
43 | 50 | 7 | +1 |
| 13 Nov. 1983 |
ARO
4 - 3
LLE
38%
32%
30%
|
42 | 52 | 10 | +1 |
Matches
Racing Ferrol
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Dec. 1983 |
RCF
1 - 1
OSA
54%
28%
18%
|
44 | 47 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 1983 |
SAB
4 - 0
RCF
80%
15%
5%
|
44 | 63 | 19 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 1983 |
RCF
1 - 1
FCA
41%
30%
29%
|
44 | 52 | 8 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 1983 |
BIN
2 - 0
RCF
70%
19%
11%
|
45 | 49 | 4 | -1 |
| 06 Nov. 1983 |
RCF
1 - 3
LOG
38%
30%
33%
|
46 | 55 | 9 | -1 |