Copa del Rey 1/128
Global 3-4
Arosa vs Racing Ferrol analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
24.5%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.8%
2-0
4%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.3%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
6%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.9%
26.2%
Draw
0-0
8.6%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.2%
49.3%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
0-1
12.8%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.5%
0-2
9.5%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15%
0-3
4.7%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
6.7%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.3%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arosa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 1978 |
ARO
4 - 2
SIE
58%
26%
17%
|
33 | 29 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 1978 |
AVI
2 - 0
ARO
64%
23%
13%
|
34 | 36 | 2 | -1 |
| 03 Sep. 1978 |
ARO
2 - 1
PON
48%
28%
24%
|
33 | 35 | 2 | +1 |
| 14 May. 1978 |
LUG
1 - 1
ARO
72%
20%
8%
|
32 | 41 | 9 | +1 |
| 07 May. 1978 |
ARO
2 - 1
CAM
56%
28%
16%
|
32 | 31 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Racing Ferrol
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Sep. 1978 |
RCF
0 - 0
SAB
56%
24%
20%
|
55 | 57 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 1978 |
BAR
1 - 1
RCF
68%
20%
12%
|
55 | 62 | 7 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 1978 |
RCF
0 - 1
GRA
54%
26%
20%
|
55 | 63 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 May. 1978 |
TUD
0 - 1
RCF
43%
30%
27%
|
55 | 45 | 10 | 0 |
| 07 May. 1978 |
RCF
4 - 1
CUL
66%
22%
12%
|
54 | 52 | 2 | +1 |