Arosa vs Racing Ferrol analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
33.6%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.9%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
4.8%
2-0
3%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
9.9%
1-0
3.3%
2-1
6.6%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1.5%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
16.3%
20.4%
Draw
0-0
1.8%
1-1
7.1%
2-2
7.2%
3-3
3.3%
4-4
0.8%
5-5
0.1%
6-6
<0%
0
20.4%
46%
Win probability
2.18
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
5.3%
3-4
1.8%
4-5
0.4%
5-6
0%
-1
19.1%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
5.7%
2-4
2.9%
3-5
0.8%
4-6
0.1%
5-7
0%
-2
13.6%
0-3
3%
1-4
3.1%
2-5
1.2%
3-6
0.3%
4-7
0%
-3
7.7%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.5%
3-7
0.1%
4-8
0%
-4
3.6%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1.4%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
1-9
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-35%
-17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arosa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jan. 1950 |
RAC
3 - 2
ARO
94%
4%
2%
|
37 | 65 | 28 | 0 |
| 01 Jan. 1950 |
ARO
2 - 1
NUM
59%
19%
21%
|
36 | 40 | 4 | +1 |
| 18 Dec. 1949 |
ARO
2 - 0
SPO
21%
22%
57%
|
34 | 68 | 34 | +2 |
| 11 Dec. 1949 |
OSA
1 - 0
ARO
90%
7%
3%
|
34 | 50 | 16 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 1949 |
ARO
0 - 3
SAB
24%
25%
51%
|
34 | 65 | 31 | 0 |
Matches
Racing Ferrol
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jan. 1950 |
SGL
5 - 0
RCF
35%
21%
44%
|
52 | 42 | 10 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 1950 |
SGL
3 - 4
RCF
37%
21%
42%
|
52 | 42 | 10 | 0 |
| 01 Jan. 1950 |
RCF
2 - 4
RAC
45%
23%
33%
|
53 | 64 | 11 | -1 |
| 25 Dec. 1949 |
ORE
0 - 0
RCF
46%
20%
34%
|
53 | 48 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 1949 |
RCF
4 - 0
NUM
87%
8%
5%
|
53 | 41 | 12 | 0 |