Arosa vs Ponferradina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.3%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.5%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.8%
2-0
10.7%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.4%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.9%
19.9%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.3%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.9%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
-19%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arosa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Feb. 1989 |
RSO
1 - 0
ARO
88%
9%
3%
|
46 | 85 | 39 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 1989 |
PON
0 - 1
ARO
67%
21%
12%
|
45 | 53 | 8 | +1 |
| 25 Jan. 1989 |
ARO
0 - 1
RSO
9%
19%
72%
|
45 | 85 | 40 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 1989 |
SAN
0 - 0
ARO
24%
31%
45%
|
46 | 22 | 24 | -1 |
| 08 Jan. 1989 |
ARO
0 - 1
ASP
61%
23%
16%
|
46 | 43 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Ponferradina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Feb. 1989 |
PON
3 - 0
AVI
48%
27%
25%
|
40 | 49 | 9 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 1989 |
PON
1 - 0
RCF
79%
15%
7%
|
39 | 32 | 7 | +1 |
| 22 Jan. 1989 |
PON
3 - 0
CDU
74%
17%
9%
|
39 | 34 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 1989 |
BAS
2 - 1
PON
52%
25%
23%
|
39 | 39 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 1988 |
ATH
3 - 2
PON
78%
15%
7%
|
40 | 59 | 19 | -1 |