Arosa vs CD Ourense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.7%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.9%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.1%
+3
6%
2-0
10.9%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
14.9%
1-0
16.7%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
26.3%
28.8%
Draw
0-0
12.8%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
28.8%
21.5%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
0-1
9.6%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
15.2%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.1%
-2
4.9%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arosa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Mar. 1986 |
RSO
2 - 2
ARO
67%
22%
12%
|
44 | 53 | 9 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 1986 |
ARO
0 - 0
SPB
51%
27%
23%
|
44 | 46 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 1986 |
BIN
3 - 1
ARO
69%
20%
11%
|
44 | 51 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 1986 |
SLA
5 - 0
ARO
70%
21%
9%
|
45 | 59 | 14 | -1 |
| 09 Feb. 1986 |
ARO
1 - 0
CFP
42%
30%
28%
|
44 | 52 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
CD Ourense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Mar. 1986 |
CDO
2 - 0
LLE
28%
32%
40%
|
48 | 60 | 12 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 1986 |
CDO
1 - 1
ZAM
45%
32%
24%
|
48 | 50 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 1986 |
ALA
1 - 0
CDO
70%
21%
9%
|
48 | 61 | 13 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 1986 |
CDO
2 - 1
FCA
37%
32%
31%
|
47 | 52 | 5 | +1 |
| 09 Feb. 1986 |
AND
2 - 1
CDO
66%
22%
12%
|
48 | 49 | 1 | -1 |