Arosa vs UD Ourense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.5%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.1%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.2%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.8%
1-0
13%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.7%
20.7%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.9%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.1%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arosa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 May. 2023 |
UDO
0 - 0
ARO
30%
24%
47%
|
35 | 28 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2023 |
RCV
2 - 1
ARO
25%
23%
52%
|
36 | 28 | 8 | -1 |
| 16 Apr. 2023 |
ARO
4 - 2
SOM
66%
22%
13%
|
36 | 24 | 12 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2023 |
UDO
2 - 3
ARO
31%
24%
46%
|
35 | 28 | 7 | +1 |
| 01 Apr. 2023 |
ARO
1 - 0
CHO
73%
18%
9%
|
35 | 17 | 18 | 0 |
Matches
UD Ourense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 May. 2023 |
UDO
0 - 0
ARO
30%
24%
47%
|
28 | 35 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2023 |
UDO
3 - 0
ARZ
66%
19%
15%
|
27 | 21 | 6 | +1 |
| 16 Apr. 2023 |
EST
0 - 0
UDO
45%
26%
30%
|
27 | 26 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2023 |
UDO
2 - 3
ARO
31%
24%
46%
|
28 | 35 | 7 | -1 |
| 02 Apr. 2023 |
DEP
1 - 1
UDO
67%
19%
14%
|
27 | 34 | 7 | +1 |