Arosa vs Noia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
81.2%
Win probability
2.7
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.9%
6-0
2%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.5%
5-0
4.3%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.1%
+5
5.7%
4-0
8.1%
5-1
2.7%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
11.1%
3-0
11.9%
4-1
4.9%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17.8%
2-0
13.3%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22.3%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.5%
12.7%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
6%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
12.7%
6.1%
Win probability
0.61
Expected goals
0-1
2.2%
1-2
1.9%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
4.7%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arosa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 May. 2018 |
ALO
4 - 1
ARO
37%
26%
37%
|
33 | 28 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2018 |
ARO
1 - 1
BER
43%
25%
33%
|
33 | 38 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2018 |
ARO
2 - 1
CEL
82%
13%
6%
|
33 | 20 | 13 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2018 |
BAR
1 - 3
ARO
38%
25%
37%
|
32 | 25 | 7 | +1 |
| 15 Apr. 2018 |
ARO
1 - 1
SOM
48%
23%
29%
|
32 | 33 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Noia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 May. 2018 |
NOI
1 - 3
CEL
52%
24%
24%
|
19 | 19 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2018 |
BAR
4 - 1
NOI
64%
20%
16%
|
20 | 23 | 3 | -1 |
| 29 Apr. 2018 |
NOI
1 - 0
SOM
15%
21%
64%
|
17 | 34 | 17 | +3 |
| 22 Apr. 2018 |
CUL
1 - 3
NOI
68%
18%
14%
|
17 | 20 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2018 |
NOI
1 - 3
COM
13%
20%
67%
|
17 | 35 | 18 | 0 |