Arosa vs Negreira analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
80%
Win probability
2.68
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.9%
6-0
1.8%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.3%
5-0
4.1%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.4%
4-0
7.6%
5-1
2.7%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.7%
3-0
11.3%
4-1
5.1%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17.3%
2-0
12.6%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22.1%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.8%
13.2%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
6.3%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
13.2%
6.8%
Win probability
0.67
Expected goals
0-1
2.3%
1-2
2.1%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.1%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.4%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arosa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Jan. 2018 |
OUR
1 - 1
ARO
32%
26%
41%
|
28 | 22 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2017 |
NOI
0 - 4
ARO
18%
24%
58%
|
28 | 15 | 13 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2017 |
ARO
1 - 1
ALO
59%
21%
20%
|
28 | 27 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2017 |
BER
1 - 1
ARO
65%
21%
14%
|
28 | 36 | 8 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2017 |
CEL
0 - 3
ARO
29%
26%
46%
|
27 | 18 | 9 | +1 |
Matches
Negreira
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jan. 2018 |
NEG
2 - 0
CEL
48%
24%
27%
|
17 | 17 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2017 |
NEG
0 - 1
BAR
20%
23%
57%
|
17 | 27 | 10 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2017 |
SOM
2 - 0
NEG
79%
14%
7%
|
17 | 32 | 15 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2017 |
NEG
1 - 0
CUL
44%
23%
33%
|
17 | 17 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2017 |
COM
5 - 0
NEG
85%
11%
4%
|
17 | 31 | 14 | 0 |