Arosa vs CD Lugo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
26.4%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.4%
2-0
4.8%
3-1
1.2%
4-2
0.1%
+2
6.2%
1-0
13%
2-1
4.8%
3-2
0.6%
4-3
<0%
+1
18.5%
33.1%
Draw
0-0
17.5%
1-1
13%
2-2
2.4%
3-3
0.2%
0
33.1%
40.5%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
17.5%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0%
-1
24.8%
0-2
8.7%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.2%
-2
11.1%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-36%
-13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arosa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Oct. 1993 |
CUL
1 - 1
ARO
65%
23%
12%
|
36 | 45 | 9 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 1993 |
ARO
1 - 0
PON
34%
29%
37%
|
35 | 42 | 7 | +1 |
| 19 Sep. 1993 |
TOM
1 - 4
ARO
66%
22%
12%
|
33 | 40 | 7 | +2 |
| 16 Sep. 1993 |
VIL
0 - 0
ARO
85%
10%
5%
|
32 | 59 | 27 | +1 |
| 12 Sep. 1993 |
ARO
1 - 2
SPB
33%
31%
36%
|
33 | 43 | 10 | -1 |
Matches
CD Lugo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Oct. 1993 |
LUG
2 - 1
RCF
56%
26%
18%
|
54 | 42 | 12 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 1993 |
LUG
3 - 0
SSR
70%
22%
8%
|
54 | 32 | 22 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 1993 |
COM
2 - 0
LUG
67%
21%
13%
|
55 | 64 | 9 | -1 |
| 19 Sep. 1993 |
CUL
2 - 0
LUG
36%
32%
32%
|
56 | 45 | 11 | -1 |
| 12 Sep. 1993 |
LUG
2 - 0
PON
56%
26%
18%
|
55 | 43 | 12 | +1 |