Arosa vs CD Lugo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.6%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.7%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.1%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.8%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
24.4%
27%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.2%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.4%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-37%
-11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arosa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Apr. 1960 |
COX
3 - 0
ARO
59%
20%
21%
|
23 | 20 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 1960 |
ARO
1 - 0
ACF
54%
23%
24%
|
22 | 24 | 2 | +1 |
| 20 Mar. 1960 |
GRA
5 - 1
ARO
59%
20%
21%
|
23 | 21 | 2 | -1 |
| 06 Mar. 1960 |
ARO
1 - 1
DEP
81%
13%
7%
|
23 | 15 | 8 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 1960 |
FLA
2 - 2
ARO
54%
21%
25%
|
24 | 19 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
CD Lugo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Apr. 1960 |
LUG
4 - 1
ZEL
71%
16%
13%
|
25 | 24 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 1960 |
GRA
2 - 1
LUG
58%
21%
21%
|
26 | 22 | 4 | -1 |
| 27 Mar. 1960 |
LUG
1 - 2
DEP
90%
7%
3%
|
27 | 15 | 12 | -1 |
| 20 Mar. 1960 |
FLA
1 - 0
LUG
50%
23%
28%
|
28 | 19 | 9 | -1 |
| 06 Mar. 1960 |
LUG
5 - 0
SAN
84%
10%
6%
|
27 | 19 | 8 | +1 |