Copa del Rey 1/128
Global 2-0
Arosa vs Club Lemos analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
80.7%
Win probability
2.48
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.6%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.9%
5-0
3.9%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.8%
4-0
8%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.2%
3-0
12.9%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
17.4%
2-0
15.6%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23.1%
1-0
12.6%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.2%
13.7%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
6.3%
2-2
2%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
13.7%
5.7%
Win probability
0.5
Expected goals
0-1
2.6%
1-2
1.6%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
4.5%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0%
-2
1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arosa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 1983 |
ARO
1 - 3
SAB
21%
30%
50%
|
37 | 60 | 23 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 1983 |
FCA
3 - 0
ARO
75%
18%
7%
|
37 | 53 | 16 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 1983 |
LEM
0 - 1
ARO
25%
27%
48%
|
37 | 23 | 14 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 1983 |
ARO
0 - 0
BIN
36%
32%
31%
|
36 | 47 | 11 | +1 |
| 04 Sep. 1983 |
LOG
2 - 2
ARO
78%
16%
6%
|
36 | 54 | 18 | 0 |
Matches
Club Lemos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 1983 |
CDO
2 - 0
LEM
77%
17%
6%
|
21 | 31 | 10 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 1983 |
LEM
0 - 1
PON
25%
30%
45%
|
22 | 34 | 12 | -1 |
| 14 Sep. 1983 |
LEM
0 - 1
ARO
25%
27%
48%
|
23 | 37 | 14 | -1 |
| 11 Sep. 1983 |
CEL
1 - 0
LEM
51%
28%
21%
|
24 | 21 | 3 | -1 |
| 04 Sep. 1983 |
LEM
4 - 0
GRA
37%
30%
33%
|
22 | 26 | 4 | +2 |