Arosa vs Lemona analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.5%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.2%
3-0
8%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.4%
2-0
14.2%
3-1
5%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
<0%
+2
19.9%
1-0
16.7%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
27.2%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
9.8%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
23.3%
13.2%
Win probability
0.62
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.7%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arosa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 May. 1989 |
LUG
2 - 1
ARO
56%
26%
18%
|
45 | 47 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 May. 1989 |
ARO
1 - 0
BER
72%
19%
9%
|
45 | 29 | 16 | 0 |
| 07 May. 1989 |
CUL
3 - 1
ARO
45%
29%
25%
|
46 | 41 | 5 | -1 |
| 23 Apr. 1989 |
ARO
1 - 1
CDO
45%
31%
25%
|
46 | 55 | 9 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 1989 |
ARO
1 - 1
RCF
66%
22%
12%
|
46 | 38 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Lemona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 May. 1989 |
LEM
3 - 0
RCF
55%
27%
19%
|
38 | 39 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 May. 1989 |
AVI
0 - 0
LEM
72%
19%
9%
|
38 | 47 | 9 | 0 |
| 06 May. 1989 |
LEM
1 - 1
BAS
56%
26%
18%
|
38 | 37 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 1989 |
CDU
1 - 0
LEM
49%
30%
21%
|
38 | 38 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 1989 |
LEM
3 - 1
ATH
24%
28%
47%
|
37 | 60 | 23 | +1 |