Arosa vs Laracha analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.7%
Win probability
2.05
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.2%
4-0
4%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.6%
3-0
7.7%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.9%
2-0
11.3%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.7%
1-0
11%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
20.2%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.2%
15.1%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.4%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arosa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Feb. 2015 |
BOI
1 - 1
ARO
41%
25%
34%
|
28 | 26 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2015 |
ARO
2 - 0
CUL
76%
16%
8%
|
28 | 16 | 12 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2015 |
SIL
0 - 2
ARO
30%
23%
47%
|
28 | 21 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2015 |
ARO
0 - 1
RCV
64%
20%
16%
|
28 | 24 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Jan. 2015 |
ARO
2 - 0
SAN
52%
23%
25%
|
27 | 26 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Laracha
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Feb. 2015 |
LAR
1 - 0
BAR
29%
27%
44%
|
21 | 25 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2015 |
BER
0 - 0
LAR
18%
22%
60%
|
21 | 13 | 8 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2015 |
ORD
1 - 2
LAR
55%
24%
21%
|
20 | 26 | 6 | +1 |
| 11 Jan. 2015 |
LAR
2 - 1
BOI
17%
25%
58%
|
18 | 30 | 12 | +2 |
| 04 Jan. 2015 |
LAR
1 - 0
CUL
40%
26%
34%
|
18 | 17 | 1 | 0 |