Copa del Rey 1/256
Global 3-5
Arosa vs Lalín analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.6%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.6%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.8%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.5%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.7%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
24.5%
27.8%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
16.6%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.7%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arosa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Sep. 1990 |
ARO
0 - 0
RCF
44%
27%
29%
|
33 | 38 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 May. 1990 |
ARO
1 - 4
PON
41%
28%
30%
|
36 | 44 | 8 | -3 |
| 20 May. 1990 |
GET
2 - 1
ARO
72%
19%
9%
|
36 | 52 | 16 | 0 |
| 13 May. 1990 |
ARO
2 - 2
LUG
43%
30%
27%
|
36 | 44 | 8 | 0 |
| 06 May. 1990 |
SPB
5 - 1
ARO
59%
24%
17%
|
37 | 38 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Lalín
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Sep. 1990 |
BOI
1 - 1
LAL
16%
27%
57%
|
39 | 21 | 18 | 0 |
| 27 May. 1990 |
UPL
2 - 1
LAL
53%
26%
21%
|
41 | 38 | 3 | -2 |
| 20 May. 1990 |
LAL
1 - 0
AVI
29%
33%
39%
|
39 | 52 | 13 | +2 |
| 13 May. 1990 |
COL
2 - 0
LAL
48%
28%
24%
|
41 | 38 | 3 | -2 |
| 06 May. 1990 |
CDT
3 - 1
LAL
59%
24%
17%
|
42 | 45 | 3 | -1 |