Arosa vs Gran Peña analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66.4%
Win probability
1.99
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.1%
4-0
4.2%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.6%
3-0
8.5%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.1%
2-0
12.8%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.4%
1-0
12.8%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
20.4%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.4%
13.2%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.5%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-31%
-12%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
58
1º
6º
2º
38
3º
14º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
61 | 61 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
58 | 58 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
56 | 56 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
46 | 46 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
45 | 45 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
41 | 41 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
41 | 41 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
40 | 40 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
39 | 39 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
|
10º
|
38 | 38 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
37 | 37 |
11º
|
0% | |
|
12º
|
37 | 37 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
37 | 37 |
13º
|
0% | |
|
15º
|
31 | 31 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
31 | 31 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
15 | 15 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arosa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Nov. 2022 |
VIV
3 - 1
ARO
19%
21%
60%
|
36 | 21 | 15 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2022 |
ARO
0 - 0
BOU
56%
24%
20%
|
36 | 31 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2022 |
ARZ
0 - 3
ARO
18%
22%
60%
|
36 | 23 | 13 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2022 |
ARO
3 - 0
EST
55%
23%
22%
|
35 | 27 | 8 | +1 |
| 02 Oct. 2022 |
ARO
0 - 0
ALO
60%
23%
17%
|
35 | 27 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Gran Peña
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Nov. 2022 |
GRA
1 - 2
DEP
31%
24%
45%
|
22 | 34 | 12 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2022 |
UPH
0 - 0
GRA
31%
25%
44%
|
23 | 19 | 4 | -1 |
| 22 Oct. 2022 |
GRA
1 - 1
BAR
46%
22%
32%
|
23 | 25 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2022 |
RCV
1 - 1
GRA
60%
22%
18%
|
22 | 28 | 6 | +1 |
| 02 Oct. 2022 |
GRA
0 - 0
SOM
39%
24%
37%
|
22 | 30 | 8 | 0 |