Arosa vs Club Santiago SC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.2%
Win probability
2.5
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.2%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
6.7%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
4.7%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.3%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
3.1%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
+2
18.3%
1-0
5.5%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
5%
4-3
1.4%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.1%
18.1%
Draw
0-0
2.2%
1-1
7.2%
2-2
6%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
18.1%
18.7%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
0-1
2.9%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
11.1%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
5.1%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arosa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Apr. 1948 |
ZAM
4 - 1
ARO
55%
20%
25%
|
36 | 29 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 1948 |
ARO
4 - 3
MAL
77%
13%
10%
|
36 | 29 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 1948 |
ACF
4 - 0
ARO
49%
21%
30%
|
38 | 29 | 9 | -2 |
| 07 Mar. 1948 |
JUV
3 - 4
ARO
60%
19%
22%
|
37 | 32 | 5 | +1 |
| 29 Feb. 1948 |
ARO
1 - 1
PON
60%
19%
21%
|
37 | 41 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Club Santiago SC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Apr. 1948 |
SGL
7 - 1
SAN
77%
13%
10%
|
31 | 38 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 1948 |
SAN
1 - 0
LEM
64%
17%
19%
|
29 | 31 | 2 | +2 |
| 28 Mar. 1948 |
BET
0 - 5
SAN
20%
20%
60%
|
29 | 11 | 18 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 1948 |
SAN
1 - 1
ORE
45%
22%
33%
|
28 | 40 | 12 | +1 |
| 29 Feb. 1948 |
ZAM
1 - 0
SAN
70%
16%
15%
|
29 | 31 | 2 | -1 |