Arosa vs CD Toledo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.6%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.8%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
12.5%
1-0
13%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.4%
28.1%
Draw
0-0
10.1%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
28.1%
29.3%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
10.2%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
-1
18.4%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.8%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-23%
+37%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arosa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Apr. 1990 |
ARO
1 - 0
CDO
42%
31%
27%
|
33 | 46 | 13 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 1990 |
AVI
2 - 0
ARO
67%
21%
12%
|
34 | 42 | 8 | -1 |
| 25 Mar. 1990 |
ARO
1 - 1
CUL
35%
29%
36%
|
33 | 46 | 13 | +1 |
| 18 Mar. 1990 |
LEG
3 - 0
ARO
70%
20%
10%
|
34 | 47 | 13 | -1 |
| 11 Mar. 1990 |
ARO
0 - 1
UPL
45%
26%
30%
|
35 | 38 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
CD Toledo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Apr. 1990 |
CDT
1 - 1
CAM
53%
27%
20%
|
43 | 46 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 1990 |
CDO
0 - 1
CDT
53%
27%
20%
|
42 | 47 | 5 | +1 |
| 25 Mar. 1990 |
CDT
1 - 1
PEG
54%
25%
21%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 1990 |
AVI
2 - 2
CDT
55%
25%
20%
|
42 | 43 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 1990 |
CDT
3 - 1
ALC
48%
27%
25%
|
39 | 44 | 5 | +3 |