Arosa vs Burgos analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
29.6%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.3%
2-0
5.4%
3-1
2%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.7%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
6.4%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
19%
29.4%
Draw
0-0
11.8%
1-1
13.3%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
29.4%
41%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
13.9%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
23.4%
0-2
8.2%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
11.8%
0-3
3.2%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
-3
4.3%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-24%
-14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arosa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Dec. 1985 |
ZAM
0 - 0
ARO
63%
24%
13%
|
44 | 50 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 1985 |
ARO
0 - 2
ALA
30%
30%
40%
|
44 | 64 | 20 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 1985 |
FCA
3 - 0
ARO
66%
22%
12%
|
46 | 52 | 6 | -2 |
| 17 Nov. 1985 |
ARO
1 - 1
AND
50%
26%
23%
|
45 | 48 | 3 | +1 |
| 10 Nov. 1985 |
CDO
0 - 0
ARO
44%
31%
25%
|
45 | 43 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Burgos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Dec. 1985 |
OSA
1 - 0
BUR
77%
14%
9%
|
63 | 77 | 14 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 1985 |
BUR
1 - 0
LLE
59%
24%
17%
|
62 | 61 | 1 | +1 |
| 01 Dec. 1985 |
BUR
3 - 0
PON
67%
21%
12%
|
62 | 51 | 11 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 1985 |
BUR
2 - 1
MUR
38%
25%
37%
|
61 | 75 | 14 | +1 |
| 24 Nov. 1985 |
ZAM
1 - 1
BUR
40%
29%
31%
|
61 | 51 | 10 | 0 |