Copa del Rey 1/256
Global 1-2
Arosa vs Bergantiños FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.9%
Win probability
2.14
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.2%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.5%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.4%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
7%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.7%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.2%
20.1%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.1%
18%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
11.5%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arosa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Aug. 1987 |
ARO
1 - 3
LAL
56%
24%
20%
|
27 | 27 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 May. 1987 |
POR
3 - 1
ARO
25%
27%
49%
|
28 | 18 | 10 | -1 |
| 10 May. 1987 |
ARO
0 - 1
COX
86%
11%
3%
|
28 | 13 | 15 | 0 |
| 03 May. 1987 |
GRA
2 - 0
ARO
23%
26%
51%
|
31 | 19 | 12 | -3 |
| 26 Apr. 1987 |
ARO
0 - 0
GON
73%
18%
10%
|
31 | 22 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Bergantiños FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Aug. 1987 |
RAC
1 - 2
BER
65%
23%
13%
|
26 | 33 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 May. 1987 |
ALO
0 - 1
BER
40%
29%
31%
|
25 | 19 | 6 | +1 |
| 10 May. 1987 |
BER
2 - 1
CEL
61%
23%
15%
|
24 | 22 | 2 | +1 |
| 03 May. 1987 |
ATO
0 - 1
BER
40%
29%
31%
|
24 | 18 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 1987 |
POR
0 - 4
BER
41%
29%
30%
|
23 | 19 | 4 | +1 |