Arosa vs CD Basconia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.3%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.1%
+3
4.9%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
13%
1-0
15.1%
2-1
8%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.1%
+1
24.6%
29.4%
Draw
0-0
12.3%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
29.4%
26.3%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
10.7%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
17.5%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
6.6%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-31%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arosa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Feb. 1988 |
PON
1 - 0
ARO
80%
15%
5%
|
34 | 58 | 24 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 1988 |
ARO
0 - 2
CDO
30%
32%
38%
|
35 | 57 | 22 | -1 |
| 30 Jan. 1988 |
BER
0 - 1
ARO
61%
25%
15%
|
34 | 40 | 6 | +1 |
| 24 Jan. 1988 |
ARO
4 - 1
LUG
37%
31%
32%
|
28 | 45 | 17 | +6 |
| 17 Jan. 1988 |
LAL
0 - 0
ARO
60%
23%
17%
|
28 | 33 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
CD Basconia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Feb. 1988 |
BAS
1 - 0
ARE
74%
18%
7%
|
44 | 34 | 10 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 1988 |
RAC
0 - 2
BAS
39%
32%
30%
|
43 | 32 | 11 | +1 |
| 30 Jan. 1988 |
BAS
2 - 0
GIM
77%
17%
7%
|
43 | 27 | 16 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 1988 |
LAR
0 - 0
BAS
41%
31%
28%
|
44 | 32 | 12 | -1 |
| 16 Jan. 1988 |
BAS
5 - 2
ASP
64%
23%
13%
|
43 | 38 | 5 | +1 |