Arosa vs Barco analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.2%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.3%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.4%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
14%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.5%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
24.8%
28.9%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
17.1%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-33%
+28%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arosa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jan. 2016 |
BER
1 - 1
ARO
43%
27%
31%
|
22 | 23 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2016 |
ARO
1 - 2
DEP
33%
25%
43%
|
23 | 27 | 4 | -1 |
| 10 Jan. 2016 |
CER
1 - 2
ARO
65%
21%
14%
|
22 | 32 | 10 | +1 |
| 03 Jan. 2016 |
RCV
3 - 1
ARO
48%
25%
27%
|
23 | 24 | 1 | -1 |
| 20 Dec. 2015 |
ARO
3 - 0
NOI
74%
17%
9%
|
23 | 15 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Barco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jan. 2016 |
BAR
3 - 3
BOI
24%
23%
53%
|
22 | 33 | 11 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2016 |
ASP
1 - 1
BAR
53%
23%
24%
|
22 | 23 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 2016 |
BAR
3 - 1
VER
46%
24%
30%
|
21 | 22 | 1 | +1 |
| 03 Jan. 2016 |
BAR
1 - 1
ORD
56%
23%
21%
|
21 | 21 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 2015 |
GAL
1 - 1
BAR
41%
25%
35%
|
21 | 19 | 2 | 0 |